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Figure Figure 2 Go-to-market & pricing

Same average, different tail

Every participant saw the same 500-hour average; only the spread differed. With the bigger spike, 89% took the flat rate at equal cost; without it, 56%, indistinguishable from a coin flip. The marked row is the tail doing the selecting.

At the same 500-hour average usage, 56% chose the flat rate when the range was 100 to 600 hours, versus 89% when the range was 400 to 900 hours: the spike, not the average, drives the preference.20%40%60%80%100%Usage range 100 to 600 hours56%Usage range 400 to 900 hours89%Chose the flat rate at equal cost (%)

Reference & Evidence

Source: Kienzler, Kowalkowski & Kindström (2021), Study 2, p. 408; n = 145, scenario-based. Every participant saw the same 500-hour average; only the bounds varied. The contrast is tested across the whole sample: chi-squared(1, N = 145) = 9.51, p < .01; logistic B = 1.19, 95% CI 0.39 to 1.98.

Each line is a claim from the register this journal publishes against, resolved from the register at build time.

  • A Only the bounds varied: "All participants saw the same past average monthly usage (500 h), but the minimum and maximum usage values were varied to create two conditions (100 and 600 h versus 400 and 900 h, respectively)", and "Participants in the equal condition (89%) were significantly more likely than chance to choose the flat rate when past usage indicated upper bound extremes", while "However, this was not the case (56%) when past usage information indicated lower bound extremes" Kienzler, Kowalkowski & Kindström (2021), Journal of Business Research 132, 403–415 · VoR held · KKK21-C3
  • A The spread contrast holds across the whole sample of 145: χ²(1, N = 145) = 9.51, p < .01; logistic B = 1.19, 95% CI [0.39, 1.98]. In the authors' own words, with a premium "the flat rate’s choice share decreased, but it increased with upper bound extremes", and the estimate comes from "A binary logistic regression with two dummy- coded independent variables" Kienzler, Kowalkowski & Kindström (2021), Journal of Business Research 132, 403–415 · VoR held · KKK21-C4

Grades: A, verified against the printed page of the primary source · B, primary source, text layer only · C, authoritative secondary · D, reported.